6-17-24 Inflation Keeps the Fed On Track To Cut Rates

6-17-24 Inflation Keeps the Fed On Track To Cut Rates

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On Wednesday, the May inflation print came in cooler than expected, sending stock and bond prices higher. Such is interesting, considering the still numerous “perpetually bearish” commentators suggest that inflation will surge due to increasing debts and deficits. However, the inflation trend remains lower as economic growth continues to slow. The correlation between smoothed PCE prices, economic growth, and inflation remains high. Therefore, as economic activity (demand) slows, prices fall as supply increases. The increasing debts and deficits are not inflationary. They are, in fact, deflationary, as the debt service redirects increasing amounts of income from productive uses. Unless something changes, the inflation print will fall further as economic growth slows, and the forces keeping inflation “sticky” continue to erode.

Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO
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Articles mentioned in this report:
"Inflation Print Keeps Fed On Track To Cut Rates"
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