Australian house prices are down 7% from their national peak — and according to SQM Research’s Louis Christopher, there’s an 80% probability they’ll fall another 5–10% over the next six months.
In this Straight Talk roundtable, Mark Bouris sits down with Louis and auctioneer Tom Panos to unpack what’s happening in Australia’s property market, why buyers are losing confidence and where prices could go next.
From sharp falls on the Gold Coast to first home buyers walking away, rising government spending and the risk of recession, they examine what’s gone wrong and what needs to change.

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Executive Producer: Samuel Morgan
Head of Production: Jonah Mclachlan

00:00 – Introduction: Property Market Round Table
02:22 – How SQM Research Breaks Down Market Data
03:26 – Current Property Cycle & Peak-to-Trough Declines
05:15 – Hardest-Hit Markets: Gold Coast & Sydney Pockets
08:22 – On the Ground: Buyer Hesitancy & Market Psychology
12:13 – Lending Trends: The Drop in First Home Buyers & Investors
16:28 – The Struggle for First Home Buyers to Build Deposits
19:07 – Job Security, Economic Sentiment & Spending Habits
21:16 – Are We Heading Into a Recession?
24:12 – The "Shrinking Cake" & Falling Standard of Living
30:08 – Inflation Drivers & Rising Government Expenditure
36:06 – Applying Household Economics to Government Budgets
46:01 – Compliance, Red Tape & The Productivity Drag
51:00 – Tommy’s Solutions: Fiscal Discipline, Skilled Migration & Tax Settings
56:30 – Louis’ Solutions: Development Tax Relief & Land Tax Reform
1:01:17 – The Evaporating "Bank of Mum and Dad" & Investor Shifts
1:06:24 – Final Messages to Canberra & Closing Thoughts


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