First Republic Bank Just Failed (Here’s Why) | Chris Whalen & Randy Woodward

First Republic Bank Just Failed (Here’s Why) | Chris Whalen & Randy Woodward

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Publish Date:
May 3, 2023
Category:
Home Remodeling Trends
Video License
Standard License
Imported From:
Youtube





Today First Republic, America’s 14th largest bank, was taken over by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) who sold the vast majority of the stranded assets to banking giant JPMorgan Chase & Co ($JPM). Jack welcomes two veteran bankers, Chris Whalen, chairman of Whalen Global Advisors, and Randy Woodward, managing director at Raymond James, for an in-depth look at why First Republic and how the banking system can move on from today’s takeover.
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Timestamps:
00:00 Intro
00:48 The "False Narrative" About First Republic
04:44 "The Bondholders Will Get Toasted First"
07:06 "We Just Need More Time"
09:54 "The Fed's Got To Cut"
11:52 Credit Availablity Has Already Come Down
15:03 Why Did The Fed Buy Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS)?
19:35 Commercial Real Estate (CRE)
23:30 Mortgage REITs & Interest Rate Risk
37:36 "The Loss To The FDIC Will Grow”
40:55 Permissionless
41:58 Is The Fed Really To Blame For Bank Failures? (Jack Pushes Back)
52:58 The Fed's Bank Term Funding Program (BTFP)
55:38 Blockworks Research
56:37 Moral Hazard Argument About Deposit Insurance
01:05:51 Tease At Future Interviews On Forward Guidance
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Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.