Portfolio Strategy Talk | [WSJ Article} Commercial Real Estate

Portfolio Strategy Talk | [WSJ Article} Commercial Real Estate

Summary
This video discusses the current state of commercial real estate and its road to recovery. The author points out that the pandemic has accelerated the shift to remote work, leading to a permanent reduction in demand for office and retail space. This, combined with the secular movement towards alternative investment ideas, means that commercial real estate may not rebound to its previous highs anytime soon. The author also mentions the importance of considering the path back for commercial real estate prices to go up, and highlights the role of interest rates and the lack of alternatives for investors as important factors to watch.

In This Video:
[00:00] Introduction
[00:30] Previously discussed commercial real estate as an investment idea.
[01:09] Changes in the way people work and live, accelerated by COVID, means there is less demand for office and retail space, which is likely permanent.
[02:32] Building values are less likely to rebound to new highs due to deeper problems facing office and certain retail landlords.
[03:50] Occupied space per co-worker is 12% below what it was in 2015, leading to a decline in office building and mall prices.
[05:27] The path for commercial real estate to go back up is uncertain and would require a combination of factors to be in investors' favor.
[07:46] Investors should be aware that sellers may have a bias towards keeping investors in their particular area in order to generate returns for their business.
[09:20] COVID's impact on commercial real estate is not sudden, and investors should have considered the long-term impact of lifestyle changes.
[11:29] While there may be investment opportunities in commercial real estate, the path back to higher prices looks difficult.

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