Realtor.com: Alarming New Trends Emerging in the US Housing Market

Some very interesting dynamics are happening right now in the United States housing market. For example, for the past month there’s been slightly more homes for sale compared to the same timeframe one year ago but before then housing inventory was down for 20 consecutive weeks. This is drastically different from the 50-60% year-over-year gains experienced from December 2022 through March 2023. Also, based on my analysis of data from Altos Research, there’s 84k more homes for sale nationwide compared to the start of this year (i.e. +18% growth YTD) vs. Last year at this time it was up by 258k from the start of the year in 2022 (+88% YTD at this time last year). This is one of the main reasons why the US median sold price is higher now than it was 12 months ago.

Additionally, even though average 30 year fixed mortgage rates have been at or above 6% since September 2022 and above 7% since late-July 2023 (per the Mortgage News Daily), the US median sold price has increased by 5% year to date (data from Redfin). However, home prices have been decreasing since July which is seasonal.

In today’s video, I share my own analysis based on the latest real estate market data from Realtor.com and Altos Research and the impacts that these trends could have on our US housing market in the weeks and months ahead. Enjoy! Subscribe, share and Like!

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Compilation of Housing Market Forecast videos:
https://youtube.com/playlist?list=PLiQQpOejscIcBF1Jw2zG6Uvg7qDav_oGi

Source of reports I shared:
https://www.realtor.com/research/weekly-housing-trends-view-data-week-dec-2-2023/

https://www.realtor.com/research/data/

https://altosresearch.com/

To give you a quick mortgage interest rates update, according to the Mortgage News Daily the average 30yr fixed mortgage rate is around 7.1% for the current mortgage rates (at the time of filming this video for those with excellent credit).

Comment below: what’s your housing market forecast? Do you think a housing crash will happen or are your housing market predictions that the real estate market and home prices will continue to surge?

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Jason Walter, CPA (lic 103885 - inactive CPA license)
Sacramento real estate agent and native
Realty ONE Group Complete (DRE 01923240)
[email protected]

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Disclaimer:
Jason Walter is not a practicing tax accountant or a licensed attorney or financial adviser. Therefore, the information in these videos shall not be relied upon as tax, legal, or financial advice from a qualified perspective. If you need such advice, please contact a qualified tax accountant, attorney, or financial adviser. We have taken reasonable steps to check that the information in this video is accurate but we cannot represent that it is free from errors. You expressly agree not to rely upon any information contained in this video - it is for entertainment purposes only.

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